Black White 1. 62: 24/18 13/11 Play 1b White to play 51Candidate Plays Equities 13/7* -0.054 6/1* 8/7* -0.078 13/8 24/23 -0.137 13/8 6/5 -0.156
NB: "7*" shows good restraint here, smoothing the distribution. Now 1's (as well as 6's) will make the bar point without giving up the 8 point.
Hitting a second checker does protect the blot on the bar point. And, though otherwise antipositional, hitting on the ace point can generate tempi which lead to a blitz or partial blitz and a sudden tactical advantage. White is just a little short on ammunition to have it pay often enough.
Put another way: Hitting with the 5 would be much better than standing pat, but bringing down the 5 to a stripped point takes priority.
As for theoretical adjustment of JellyFish's numbers: After "7*", sixteen numbers send back a checker with possibly more to come; after "7*,1*", only eleven numbers hit. Also, "7*,1*" means potentially making the ace point with a large gap. Both reasons argue for "7*" being an even better choice than JF indicates.
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